Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1524
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
B6 1524 · LAX → JFK
departs 8:30 PM PT · arrives 5:01 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 23%
Sat 10/3 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.