Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 153
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 153 · FLL → SJU
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 7:04 PM AT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Wed 9/30 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
4pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 2,600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.84 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 1,400 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.