Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1604
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 1604 · SJU → JFK
departs 1:10 PM AT · arrives 5:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at SJU that day
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.