Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 1678 · JAX → JFK
departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 8:30 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
JFK is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from JAX are usually not late
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.05 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.