Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 1715 · JFK → VRB
departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 1:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at VRB more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VRB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at VRB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VRB?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VRB that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
10am departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
VRB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
VRB (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.85 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.