B6 17 · JAX → FLL

departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 8:46 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from JAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precip0.05 in

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.72 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 17 · JAX → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?