Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 190
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 190 · SAN → JFK
departs 12:00 PM PT · arrives 8:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 9/30 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±7 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.