Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 2152 · SJU → TPA
departs 1:00 PM AT · arrives 4:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at SJU that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.48 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.