Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2153
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 2153 · FLL → SJU
departs 8:37 PM ET · arrives 11:20 PM AT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 9/30 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.39 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.