B6 2180 · IAH → FLL

departs 4:42 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.0 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.33 in

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2180 · IAH → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?