B6 2186 · PIT → BOS

departs 8:38 PM ET · arrives 10:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,933 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2186 · PIT → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?