Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 227
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 227 · MCO → SJU
departs 2:50 PM ET · arrives 5:53 PM AT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 23%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
32%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
2pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.