Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 2471 · FLL → BQN
departs 9:59 PM ET · arrives 12:33 AM AT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Wed 9/30 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BQN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BQN?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
BQN (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.