Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2581
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 2581 · FLL → BNA
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.