B6 2582 · BNA → FLL

departs 2:27 PM CT · arrives 5:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2582 · BNA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?