Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2583
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 2583 · JFK → MCO
departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 11:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 66%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 35%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,167 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.