B6 2656 · MCO → SYR

departs 12:46 PM ET · arrives 3:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SYR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2656 · MCO → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?