B6 271 · LGA → FLL

departs 8:05 AM ET · arrives 11:01 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.0 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 271 · LGA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?