Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 278
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 278 · SFO → FLL
departs 10:40 PM PT · arrives 7:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
10pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.72 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.