Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 2823 · FLL → MSY
departs 9:16 PM ET · arrives 10:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 9/30 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.39 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.