B6 2902 · JFK → BUF

departs 1:29 PM ET · arrives 2:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2902 · JFK → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?