B6 330 · SDQ → BOS

departs 4:45 PM AST · arrives 9:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

SDQ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 330 · SDQ → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?