Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 400
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 400 · MSY → BOS
departs 2:59 PM CT · arrives 7:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Wed 9/30 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 38%
Sat 10/3 36%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.12 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 1 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.