Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 401 · BOS → MSY
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 2:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Wed 9/30 19%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 1 mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.