Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 407
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 407 · PWM → JFK
departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 4:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PWM (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.