Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 454
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 454 · ONT → JFK
departs 11:58 PM PT · arrives 8:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 30%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.