Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 471 · LGA → FLL
departs 3:40 PM ET · arrives 6:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.