Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 492 · LAX → BUF
departs 11:35 PM PT · arrives 7:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 50%
Mon 10/5 34%
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BUF that day
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.