Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 514
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 514 · FLL → ISP
departs 4:35 PM ET · arrives 7:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ISP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ISP?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
4pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ISP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
ISP (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.