Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 516 · BUF → BOS
departs 9:36 PM ET · arrives 11:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 29%
Sun 10/4 47%
Mon 10/5 41%
Tue 10/6 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.