Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 547
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 547 · ISP → MCO
departs 11:31 AM ET · arrives 2:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ISP
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.