Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 551 · BOS → MCO
departs 4:19 PM ET · arrives 7:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 9/30 22%
Thu 10/1
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 4,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.