Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 591
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 591 · BOS → TPA
departs 9:03 PM ET · arrives 12:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Wed 9/30 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 38%
Sat 10/3 36%
Sun 10/4 47%
Mon 10/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.