Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 592 · TPA → BOS
departs 4:58 PM ET · arrives 8:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Wed 9/30 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 34%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.20 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.