Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 615
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 615 · JFK → SFO
departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 10:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 27%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±11 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.