Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±5 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to JFK?
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On time or early
68%
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15–30 min late
11%
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30 min–1 hour late
13%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
4%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.