Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 781
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 781 · BOS → RIC
departs 3:40 PM ET · arrives 5:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late
↓
Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at BOS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
RIC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.