Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 81
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 81 · JFK → RNO
departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 53%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±8 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
6pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
RNO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.