Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 823 · JFK → LAX
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 9:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 64%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±10 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.