B6 8595 · MCO → MCI

departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 12:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 8595 · MCO → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?