DL 1001 · SEA → SNA

departs 10:13 AM PT · arrives 12:57 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SNA that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1001 · SEA → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?