Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1012
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 1012 · DTW → AUS
departs 12:53 PM ET · arrives 2:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 9/30 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.94 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.