DL 1033 · RDU → BOS

departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 2:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from RDU are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1033 · RDU → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?