DL 1070 · DTW → PHX

departs 8:35 AM ET · arrives 9:44 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.33 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1070 · DTW → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?