DL 1081 · ATL → AUS

departs 8:45 PM ET · arrives 10:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±11 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip1.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1081 · ATL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?