Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1114
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1114 · SEA → PHL
departs 9:20 PM PT · arrives 5:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.