Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Thursday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1135 SCHEDULED

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 1135 · DTW → PHX

departs 4:50 PM ET · arrives 5:55 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.09 in

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1135 · DTW → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?