DL 1181 · FLL → LGA

departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 6:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ 3pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.72 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1181 · FLL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?