DL 1182 · ATL → AVL

departs 12:16 PM ET · arrives 1:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1182 · ATL → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?