Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1218
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1218 · AUS → DTW
departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 4:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
12pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.94 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.